HENDERSONVILLE, Tennessee, and MILWAUKEE—The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index fell 19.3% in June to a level of 4,504. Year to date through the first six months of 2022, the stock index decreased 21.6%.
“Hotel stocks continued on their downward trajectory in June and were significant relative underperformers as investors began to factor in an increasing likelihood of an impending recession,” said Michael Bellisario, senior hotel research analyst and director at Baird. “While the upcoming summer travel months are expected to be strong, investors are looking beyond the near-term fundamental strength to a period when demand and ADR growth are likely to moderate, which is supported by the many macroeconomic indicators that are flashing signs of broader slowing.”
“With summer vacation season in full swing, pandemic-era highs in room demand have demonstrated the sustained desire from Americans to travel,” said Amanda Hite, STR president. “While beach destinations continue to thrive, we have seen downtown locations, which were lacking both corporate group and transient demand, post encouraging results. Room rate growth continues unabated across all chain scales, and it is good to see upper upscale hotels being able to capitalize on renewed interest. At the same time, the macroeconomic sentiment has shifted with a ‘hard landing’ expected for the U.S. economy in 2023. Developers and owners are watching the interest rate environment closely, and recent rate hikes will likely have a measurable impact on the construction pipeline going forward.”
In June, the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index fell behind both the S&P 500 (-8.4%) and the MSCI US REIT Index (-7.9%).
The Hotel Brand sub-index dropped 19.3% from May to 8,010, while the Hotel REIT sub-index dipped 19.5% to 1,036.
About the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index and Sub-Indices
The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index was set to equal 1,000 on 1 January 2000. Last cycle, the Index peaked at 3,178 on 5 July 2007. The Index’s low point occurred on 6 March 2009 when it dropped to 573.
The Hotel Brand sub-index was set to equal 1,000 on 1 January 2000. Last cycle, the sub-index peaked at 3,407 on 5 July 2007. The sub-index’s low point occurred on 6 March 2009 when it dropped to 722.
The Hotel REIT sub-index was set to equal 1,000 on 1 January 2000. Last cycle, the sub-index peaked at 2,555 on 2 February 2007. The sub-index’s low point occurred on 5 March 2009 when it dropped to 298.
The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index and sub-indices are available exclusively on Hotel News Now. The indices are cobranded and were created by Robert W. Baird & Co. (Baird) and STR. The market-cap-weighted, price-only indices comprise 20 of the largest market-capitalization hotel companies publicly traded on a U.S. exchange and attempt to characterize the performance of hotel stocks. The Index and sub-indices are maintained by Baird and hosted on Hotel News Now, are not actively managed, and no direct investment can be made in them.
As of 30 June 2022, the companies that comprised the Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index included: Apple Hospitality REIT, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Chatham Lodging Trust, Choice Hotels International, DiamondRock Hospitality Company, Hersha Hospitality Trust, Hilton Inc., Host Hotels & Resorts, Hyatt Hotels, InterContinental Hotels Group, Marriott International, Park Hotels & Resorts, Inc., Pebblebrook Hotel Trust, RLJ Lodging Trust, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Service Properties Trust, Summit Hotel Properties, Sunstone Hotel Investors, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, and Xenia Hotels & Resorts.
This communication is not a call to action to engage in a securities transaction and has not been individually tailored to a specific client or targeted group of clients. Research reports on the companies identified in this communication are provided by Robert W. Baird & Co. Incorporated, and are available to clients through their Baird Financial Advisor. This communication does not provide recipients with information or advice that is sufficient on which to base an investment decision. This communication does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or need of any particular client and may not be suitable for all types of investors. Recipients should consider the contents of this communication as a single factor in making an investment decision. Additional fundamental and other analyses would be required to make an investment decision about any individual security identified in this release.
