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eric guerrero

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eric guerrero

Ensuring Your Deal Closes: Three Areas to Focus On

Eric Guerrero | October 31, 2024

Both buyers and sellers want a seamless hotel transaction closing, but a variety of potential pitfalls can slow a deal’s closing. Below, we review three key areas of a hotel sale that may present obstacles: financing, PIP costs, and property insurance premiums. We also provide recommendations that help you to anticipate and prevent issues. Financing Securing debt at a reasonable market rate with good terms is still one of largest obstacles in closing a deal. In order to obtain a good loan, a buyer must have a strong balance sheet with a credible global cash-flow and solid track record of success in owning and operating other hotels. Bu...

Understanding the Current State of the Hotel Transaction Market

Eric Guerrero | May 15, 2024

By Eric Guerrero, Josh Williams The hotel transaction market continues to face significant headwinds. Investors are still concerned about the prohibitive cost of debt, and with the chances of a summer rate cut from the Fed becoming slimmer, expensive debt may remain for the foreseeable future. Additional challenges to getting deals done are the bid-ask spread, rising operational costs, and extensive change-of-ownership property improvement plans (PIPs). As ownership groups consider placing their hotel assets on the market, they should consider how these headwinds are affecting buyer underwriting so that they have realistic pricing expectat...

Hunter Conference 2024 Takeaways

Josh Williams | March 25, 2024

By Josh Williams, Courtney Vris, Eric Guerrero The Atlanta Marriott Marquis was bustling this week with another successful Hunter Hotel Investment Conference. Kudos to the Hunter and Marriott teams for executing an extraordinary event! Some key takeaways from the HVS brokerage and consulting staff members who attended the conference are summarized as follows: There is still a material gap on bid/ask in brokered deals, but buyers are nevertheless active and looking increasingly toward deals outside of the top 25 MSAs, which may produce better yields. Fewer listings in general were launched at Hunter than at ALIS. Several buyers men...

ALIS 2024 HVS Takeaways: Upbeat, Optimistic, and an Eye on Innovation

Rod Clough | January 26, 2024

By Rod Clough, Marcus Lee, John Berean, Eric Guerrero, Alice Sherman HVS was a proud sponsor of this year’s ALIS conference, and both our HVS Los Angeles leader Kirsten Smiley and our HVS San Francisco leader John Berean moderated educational and engaging panels at the event. Given that hotel performance metrics remain strong in most markets and difficulties persist in the office and multi-family sectors, both investors and lenders are finding hotels to be a particularly attractive asset class for 2024. Sentiment at the ALIS conference was upbeat, with participants and analysts buoyed by the improved lending economics as of Q4...

HVS Conference Takeaways: The Lodging Conference 2023

Rod Clough | September 25, 2023

By Rod Clough With contributions from Eric Guerrero, Josh Williams, Neil Flavin, Zabada Abouelhana, James Rebullida, and Aleisha Smith Harry Javer and team executed another stellar Lodging Conference at the beautiful JW Marriott Desert Ridge, where over 2,700 attendees gathered to ponder and map the future of our great industry. We were thankful to sponsor such an important meeting, and I was honored to take the main stage at its start to share my perspectives on the direction of cap rates, discount rates, and values. Here are our takeaways from the conference: There is a notable disconnect at present between buyer and sel...

The Current Impact of Brand PIP Requirements on Hotel Sales

Eric Guerrero | November 22, 2019

By Eric Guerrero The most consistent issue HVS Brokerage & Advisory has encountered during transactions is whether a group is budgeting sufficient capital for prospective asset acquisitions that require PIP renovations. An incorrect estimate means buyer groups must increase their capitalizations or request a price reduction on a dollar-for-dollar basis relative to their cost increases. This ultimately changes many metrics late in acquisition processes and lowers IRRs because any extra capital is drawn entirely from equity and not a blend of equity and debt. Recent observations are detailed below. The lesson is that accurate PIP estimat...

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